economy

Financing

The restaurant industry turns a corner, but what's next?

The Bottom Line: Inflation is easing, profitability is improving, the consumer is more resilient than expected and we might avoid a recession. But that doesn’t mean there aren’t concerns.

Financing

Restaurant menu price inflation shows some signs of easing

The industry appears to be slowing its rate of price hikes as overall inflation eases. But restaurants are still raising prices faster than grocers.

New government data show a decline in the employee head counts of eating and drinking places. Hotels, in contrast, accelerated their hiring.

The Bottom Line: Americans will soon start repaying their student loans again. That could sap some energy out of restaurant sales.

Limited-service prices increased 8% annually last month, even as retail grocery price inflation slowed further.

Industry executives are confident in their ability to withstand a recession. But whether they're seeing a consumer shift now depends on who you ask.

While employment in the industry is down overall, that decline is not spread evenly as operators shift toward production and away from service. But everybody is making more money.

Limited-service restaurant prices accelerated slightly in April, even as inflation cooled at full-service restaurants and grocery stores.

A Deeper Dive: Michael Swanson, agricultural economist and consultant with Wells Fargo, joins the podcast to talk about the economy, inflation and the outlook on menu prices.

The Bottom Line: Some restaurant executives believe a recession is coming and economic data appear to be pointing in that direction. But sales have started out strongly, and not everyone agrees.

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